Essays

Writing

I write about artificial intelligence, markets, geopolitical constraints, and the evidence, permissions, and records behind consequential software.

Archive

Published essays

8 essays

Institutional Systems

The Bank Details Changed. Who Authorized the Payment?

A genuine supplier message can still be insufficient authority to redirect funds; the payment must be held until the exact destination is independently verified and approved.

5 min read
Geoeconomics

Cheap Intelligence, Scarce Acceptance

If cognition becomes cheap, economic power moves toward physical capacity, institutional permission, and ownership of the systems that make decisions consequential.

4 min read
Geoeconomics

The First Job AI Replaces Is a Vacancy

Cognitive automation may first reduce hiring, contractors, and replacement demand, protecting established employees while closing entry routes into professions.

4 min read
Institutional Systems

An AI Output Is Not an Institutional Event

A model recommendation becomes consequential only when evidence, delegated authority, policy, action, and settlement connect under rules an institution accepts.

4 min read
Institutional Systems

What an Agent’s Refused Payment Must Record

A proposed event bundle for proving that an authenticated agent was stopped before executing a payment outside its delegated mandate.

6 min read
Institutional Systems

When Is an Internal Audit Log Enough?

Independent event infrastructure is warranted only when several legal entities need one history and cannot rely on bilateral exports or a counterparty database.

5 min read